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A decade ago, Labour turned to him, not because they believed in his vision, but because they perceived in him their only chance of government. He rewarded them with two overwhelming election victories. As Prime Minister, he offered policies conservative enough to preserve the consent of the middle class, larded with sufficient New Age compassion to quiet socialist consciences. He maintained an iron grip on his own ranks, stifling dissenters with the nuclear-deterrent: back me, or forego the sugared joys of office. For New Labour's faithful, the prizes have indeed been delightful. There have been ministerial salaries such as few incumbents could hope to match outside politics, red boxes and chauffeurs, an ever-growing tribe of civil servants; an ever-widening panoply of state patronage. Above all, of course, there has been power, great dollops of delicious power. Leave aside for a moment the issue of whether Tony Blair has delivered to the British people. He has delivered magnificently to his own party, in a fashion unmatched by any other Labour leader in history. Untarnished So what has gone wrong? What causes the world today to perceive, with the fall of his friend and ally David Blunkett, the beginning of the end of the Blair era? First, amid Tories' woes, many Labour MPs share an arrogance in office that makes their great leader seem disposable. Public trust in Blair has been permanently eroded by Iraq and all the other revelations of the chasm between his utterances and his actions. By contrast, Gordon Brown, the Robespierrian incorruptible, offers New Labour an exciting whiff of socialism, a promise of fiscal redistribution, a reputation untarnished by events. Brown is the man who refuses to dress up in toff tailcoats for City banquets. His bleak austerity seems a standing reproach to the Blairs' greed for free palazzos in Italy and multi-million-pound house purchases. Labour stalwarts read opinion polls which promise that their next election victory is assured. Meanwhile, Blair's political loneliness grows by the day. Almost all his faithful acolytes of 1997, midwives of the Third Way, have gone from Whitehall. Lord Irvine, the chloleric lawyer who patronised the young prime minister as 'the boy Blair' with the airy confidence of a mentor, has vanished into obscurity. Alastair Campbell, beside whom Beria (Stalin's most sinister of secret policemen) sometimes seemed a figure of fun, has departed to earn a living in cabaret. Anji Hunter, former Downing Street gatekeeper, has moved on, together with Peter Mandelson. The Fellowship of the Ring, as a romantically-inclined Blairite once described it to me back in 1997, was broken asunder even before the fall of David Blunkett. But Blunkett himself was central to the credibility of the Blair Project, because he represented a vital link. The Prime Minister and those closest to him are inescapably middle-class. Blunkett was the warm, lovable, commonsensical grassroots Old Labour star, who had embraced the Third Way, and Tony with it. Blunkett's presence at the Cabinet table was Blair's earnest of faith towards the working class. The Home Secretary possessed the brains John Prescott lacks. He showed the commitment to a disciplined society which Downing Street thinks essential to appeasing middle-class dismay about failures of policing and the justice system. Factions Now Blunkett is replaced by Charles Clarke, whose foremost purpose is to gain Tony Blair's job. Clarke is loyal to Blair only until there is enough blood on the water for it to seem safe for the new Home Secretary to close his jaws on the Prime Minister's leg. We are heading towards a struggle for power at which the British people will be mere spectators. It will be fought between rival factions of government, confident that the electorate has enough bread and circuses to preserve the passivity. I have suggested before on this page that it is a mystery to many of us why Tony Blair is so eager to go on. Objective observers can perceive only failures ahead for his government. Having turned its face against radical reform of public services, these are unlikely to improve. There are no plaudits to be won from British entanglement with Bush in Iraq. Blair will probably lose a 2006 referendum on the European Constitution. Taxation must rise to fund the Chancellor's reckless generosity with our money. The economy will, some time, turn downwards. The Third Way was always a myth, sustained since 1997 only by sidestepping every hard choice, avoiding every real decision. The Government shows no appetite to confront the unions on the vital issue of pensions. Educational standards are falling, in the eyes of everyone save the Prime Minister. Our Universities are starved of vital funding, while the madness of strangling excellence by imposing 'equal opportunity' upon admission to higher education grows apace. The failure effectively to control immigration presents a grave threat to the coherence of our society. Sooner or later, the British public will awake to some of these realities. Before it happens, one might suppose that Tony Blair would think it prudent to absent himself. During the year ahead, he still has an opportunity to quit office with some dignity. He possesses scant chance of achieving an historic reputation as a statesman. He can still go with an extraordinary record as a politician, a master-conjuror. If he stays on in his lonely citadel, only sorrows lie ahead. Under the Cabinet table, ever more hands finger daggers, while ever fewer clasp that of the Prime Minister in honest fellowship. Flunkeys In 1641, a witness described wonderingly the spectacle of Parliament looking upon the fallen Earl of Strafford, mightiest minister of King Charles I until that afternoon that impeachment set him on a course for the scaffold: 'All gazing, no man capping to him, before whom that morning the greatest of England would have stood discovered'. Today, Tony Blair's flunkeys still metaphorically doff their caps, but the shadows are closing in. The Prime Minister's authority and dignity are fast fading, along with his party's belief in his indispensability. He lacked the power to save David Blunkett. He may soon lack the power to save himself. Please also read Simon Heffer and Melanie Phillips on Blunkett and Blair For the health of our democracy, we, the people of the United Kingdom, must find a way to force Mr Blair to resign
Such defiance of the democratic process and the will of the majority of we people of the UK, must be exposed by voters as a matter or urgency, and not just in the two by-elections we have had this July and the European elections in June 2004. But how can this be done? The most effective way of getting our deceitful PM to resign would be to mobilise the army of Labour MPs currently in the House of Commons and get them to demand it, the loss of their seat to be a penalty if they did not. All voters in Labour-held constituencies need to write a letter along these lines to their local Labour MPs:
Simple, non-violent, protest letters along these lines on a variety of issues could be the basis for re-vitalising our democracy and increasing voters' interest and participation in politics. Download a printable copy of the above letter here. There is another way for the voice of the silent majority to be heard, a voice that made sure broken promises would not only be revealed, but punished in subsequent elections. In the year available before the General Election expected in 2005, many topics are available as ammunition, each one asking questions. A weapon for our purpose will be the results of Opinion Polls in individual constituencies using ICM, NOP, Gallop, Mori or YouGov. Questions suggested for this purpose are listed here. CAST YOUR VOTE ON A VARIETY OF OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES HERE. Current and prospective Parliamentary candidates of all Parties running for election could share a platform at public forums in every constituency. They would be presented with the results of polls on this issue expressed by the majority of voters in that constituency. The candidates could be asked if their own views and that of their Party manifesto corresponded with the polls, and if not, how they intended to represent the will of the majority of local voters. Local and National Press, Radio and TV coverage would be arranged and the results published on this web site. Here is another powerful strategy for using your vote effectively in the forthcoming General Election. Send your sitting and prospective MPs a letter defining your requirements if they want your vote. This example deals with the proposed EU Constitutional Treaty. Your letters would end: "If you do not answer this letter, I shall take it that you intend to follow the Government line. I shall act accordingly in the forthcoming General Election. Or why not create a questionnaire that you send to all the candidates in your constituency, getting them to give yes/no answers to questions of your choice, and ending it with the same paragraph(above). Download a printable example of the questionnaire. It is high time for the people of this United Kingdom to stop allowing themselves to be manipulated by politicians. We need our representatives in Parliament to genuinely reflect the view of the majority in their own constituency, even if this means going against their personal and/or their party's policy. While they may argue their case, hoping to change the minds of the majority in their constituency, they should ultimately be obliged to reflect the majority view of those who elect them. It will be argued by politicians of all parties that most voters don't have the knowledge necessary to express an opinion on important subjects at issue, and that our vote is a form of delegated democracy. We should argue that it is their duty to ensure that we voters do have ready access to such information as is necessary to form an intelligent opinion. That, after all, is one main purpose of Opposition Parties in our Parliamentary Democracy. Most important of all, such proceedings would rekindle in voters their latent interest and obligation to cast their vote, knowing that the candidate of their choice would be more likely to act in accordance with their wishes. A much higher turnout in elections would be the result. Contact your local Party Chairman. Gain his support for setting up public forums in your constituency on these, as well as any other relevant topics, well before the next General Election expected in 2005. You should then, depending on the integrity of the candidate of your choice, feel fairly certain that your view on any subject being debated in Parliament will more accurately be reflected by your representative in that assembly.
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